Stock Market - Don't Fool Me Twice!
“Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me”. It is remarkable how much insight that one simple phrase can provide for the stock market.
View ArticleInvestor Cycle Sell-Off In Crude
Crude is clearly locked into an Investor Cycle sell-off and traders know it. The massive speculative Long positions that accumulated during the preceding months are now working against the traders that...
View ArticleWeak Retracement
This low volume Monday appeared to end on a whimper, as the major indices ended at their lows of the day. Combined with the large fade in the afternoon, that’s a clue to me that the equities may be...
View ArticleOptions Market Stages 10 Year History
OptionScientist, do you have a chart of option performance going back several years? I would like to compare the current action to past stock-market corrections.
View ArticleWhat Every Trader Should Know About Entropy
Ever notice how the stock market seems to have a mind of its own, as if it is determined to separate you from your stock positions? If so, you are not imagining things. The stock market is indeed...
View ArticleQuestioning The Retracement
What an odd (and wonderful) price shock for bears on Friday. The news from Ukraine and Russia appeared to darken the recent clouds over the exuberant equity markets. The added drama that this event...
View ArticleCould QTMM Be The Next PLUG?
Below is one of the most bullish charts I've seen in awhile. Let's start with the weekly and note the massively overbought RSI condition in June/July. This is often a warm up to what's to come.
View ArticleJobs Or Not, Stocks Are Hot
Rarely is the disconnect between the stock market and the economy more apparent than in an extreme bull market, when stock prices rise so far, so fast, and the trend becomes self-perpetuating, feeding...
View ArticleOdds In Favor Of Bulls
Looks to me like a very controlled and deliberate move in the equity markets. We had a 100 point move in the first 15 days of this Daily and Investor Cycle; it has taken some time to consolidate those...
View ArticleOptions Witching Effects On Stock Prices
These days, there are lots of different options expirations available, so no single expiration is quite as important as it may have been in the past when availability was much more limited.
View ArticleThe Bear Has Begun To Stir In Gold
When considering whether an asset is ready to turn higher, I generally look for an extreme negative sentiment level during an extreme price decline while the asset is in the timing band for a Cycle Low.
View ArticleAstrology Update: October's Lunar Eclipse
The volatility has picked up in the markets. Last week the Nasdaq timing signal turned bearish for the long term. The Dow however remains bullish for the long term.
View ArticleGold Will Surprise In More Ways Than One
Everywhere you turn today, gold is again being dismissed as a relic of the past, totally worthless, non-producing, with no place in any modern day portfolio.
View ArticleOptions + Fibonacci = Powerful Indicator
During a sell-off in the stock market, in which prices are tumbling, who is it that is buying all the shares of stock that are being sold? Somebody has to buy each stock, or else there would be no...
View ArticleCrude Has Likely Hit Rock Bottom
In the past, we’ve discussed at length the structural problems facing Crude. So the pressure the energy markets are under, both from the demand and supply sides, should come as no surprise.
View ArticleStairs Up And Elevator Down?
This reflex, counter-trend Cycle move has now added 180 points in 10 sessions, more than eclipsing the 17 session fall that preceded it. They often say that equities take the “stairs up and an elevator...
View ArticleThe US Dollar Remains Stubbornly Bullish
The dollar stubbornly refuses to fall, even though it too (like crude/bonds) is very deep into its Daily and Investor Cycle timing. Technically it is weakening, as seen within the indicators on the...
View ArticleS&P 500 Stretched Like A Spring
Stock prices tend to act like a spring. The further they are stretched to their limits, the further they tend to snap back in the opposite direction.
View ArticleDow Jones Observations
While it's impossible to know if the markets are going to ever correct again (slight sarcasm), one can't deny that the strength of the recent move is deteriorating.
View ArticleIt's An Option Buyer's Market
Without a thorough understanding of the behavior of stock options, it’s not just possible to lose money buying options on the right stock at the right time, it is actually very common. What you need to...
View Article